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Gundlach: Fed's Warsh takes hawkish inflation stance from first meeting

18 June 2026 · Source balance: Centre-Right

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, told CNBC that new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is taking a much firmer stance on inflation control than many investors expected. At his first meeting on June 17th, Warsh emphasized price stability repeatedly and declined to submit a personal interest rate projection. Gundlach noted that Warsh struck a decidedly hawkish tone, signaling fewer interest rate cuts ahead than previously anticipated. The Fed held rates steady at 3.5 to 3.75 percent. Gundlach said this stance reduces the risk of overly accommodative monetary policy that could reignite inflation. He argued it strengthens the case for owning long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. Warsh's emphasis on controlling inflation, which has remained above the Fed's two percent target for five years, marks a shift from earlier expectations that he would champion easier monetary policies benefiting those seeking lower borrowing costs.

Key facts

  • Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh left interest rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% at his first meeting on June 17, 2026
  • Warsh repeated the phrase price stability about a dozen times and said the Fed's commitment to delivering on it is strong, unanimous and unambiguous
  • Inflation has remained above the Fed's 2% target for five years
  • Warsh declined to submit a personal interest rate dot plot projection, breaking from tradition
  • Gundlach noted the shift from earlier 2026 expectations when investors widely anticipated aggressive rate cuts from a Warsh-led Fed

How different outlets framed it

Right-leaning coverage: Conservative voices praised Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation control and his criticism of the Fed's previous overreach, including concerns about ESG policies and excessive government spending. Right-leaning supporters highlighted his commitment to Fed independence and fiscal responsibility.

Limits of this briefing

Coverage was primarily from financial news outlets; limited perspective from progressive/labor-focused publications that typically emphasize employment concerns over inflation. Some outlets also did not distinguish clearly between Gundlach's personal investment recommendation (buying long-term Treasuries) and his broader market analysis.

Sources

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